Professional valuations in the mid-market typically rely on three approaches, often used in combination to triangulate a credible range.
1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
The DCF method values a business based on the present value of its expected future cash flows. It requires forecasting revenues, margins, and capital expenditures over a projection period (typically five years), then discounting those cash flows back to today using a weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
When it works best: Companies with predictable, recurring cash flows and a clear growth trajectory. Common in software, subscription-based businesses, and stable services companies.
Key challenge: DCF is highly sensitive to assumptions. A small change in the discount rate or terminal growth rate can shift the valuation by 20% or more. Buyers and sellers often arrive at different DCF outputs because they use different assumptions.
2. Comparable Transactions
This approach benchmarks your company against recent M&A transactions involving similar businesses. If a competitor in your sector sold for 7x EBITDA, that provides a reference point for your own valuation.
When it works best: Sectors with sufficient transaction activity to build a meaningful data set. Works well in business services, healthcare, and industrial technology.
Key challenge: No two deals are identical. Differences in size, geography, growth rates, and deal structure can make comparisons misleading if not carefully adjusted.
3. EBITDA Multiples
The most widely used method in mid-market M&A. A valuation multiple (typically Enterprise Value / EBITDA) is applied to the company's normalised earnings. Normalisation adjusts for one-off items, owner compensation above market rates, and non-recurring costs.
When it works best: Nearly all mid-market transactions. EBITDA multiples are the common language between buyers, sellers, and advisors.
Key challenge: The multiple itself is just a starting point. What matters is which EBITDA figure is used (trailing, forward, or adjusted) and how normalisation adjustments are applied. An extra EUR 500,000 in EBITDA adjustments at a 7x multiple adds EUR 3.5 million in enterprise value.
In practice, experienced advisors use all three methods and present a valuation range rather than a single number, giving sellers a realistic corridor for negotiations.